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Spike bucket

07/19/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/19/2026, 5:14:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 5:15:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 43,002.85
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 282.2
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
42
Observable rows
8
19.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
2,862.46 QUAI
282.2 QI
Avg confidence
65.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 2862 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 5:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
43,002.85 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
Net sender
Unknown type
14,149.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
Net sender
Unknown type
8,014.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
Net sender
Unknown type
509.42 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 43,002.85 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 42. The remaining 34 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
115.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d007495f20f7379a4a33427f8480dfddecfb13ad175e1037de6e668de436b
Open txWallet profile
8,014.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x004d22eEBcE914c85154294bAd8669875E2Dbf0D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007300100891016b4f044f972cdcfa5240c024b6b2e0c8b02fe32bf29a1d71e2
Open txWallet profile
19,998.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0040005a216d1619df2bba791de80c5781f915a2ffa641b66d85e04b1f0b5704
Open txWallet profile
509.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x0061304e5d4cbaD937dA5e3b041d46DF1D32a087
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c0072616ba3971913057df70fa208c0c7f432e040e7b4052760cd1e5e9b9b
Open txWallet profile
106.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b005336d4e3fa515e51208be3582fc1b392870d3b25cffbc1d5e3c12eec0a
Open txWallet profile
108.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006300731434189cd0c7a0602fa533b4ebca7642e38343765269fdff6bb8841a
Open txWallet profile
14,149.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:50 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00030040415883ade0ae16db298e6817e9ec6a7e5e3fd702cd46fd6cd0dafcb5
Open txWallet profile
282.2 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 5:14:34 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x0072954827753F3fF928bF6100d1e10730f7d7Cd
Tx: 0x005a006819a96753f3b8f6b411d21998e392d686f9def78a69ea07c35abf833f