Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 3:03:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
57% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 160
Unexplained QUAI: 119.75
Explained QI: 324.83
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 75% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
279.75 QUAI
324.83 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 280 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
324.83 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
324.83 QI across 1 visible row
0x0019de52F0DD78Ed52903a05B8c024c2A39885fA
Net receiver
Unknown type
160 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004A459186c106eC7FC70c95F7bc1B99c579D65a
Net sender
Unknown type
120 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00404F4067F32BdD7aEc8Da58244a2fEA027dEBD
Net sender
Unknown type
40 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
279.75 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:03:08 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:02:07 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
160 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:04:06 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:04:07 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:01:08 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
341.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:05:21 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
631.16 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:00:07 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/19/2026, 3:06:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
324.83 QI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
QI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
120 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:03:44 A.M.
From: 0x004A459186c106eC7FC70c95F7bc1B99c579D65a
To: 0x0019de52F0DD78Ed52903a05B8c024c2A39885fA
Tx: 0x005f003c34760d16dc565aacf292b9a8076650b4dfad98b7c58cf0d025b787cb
40 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:03:14 A.M.
From: 0x00404F4067F32BdD7aEc8Da58244a2fEA027dEBD
To: 0x0019de52F0DD78Ed52903a05B8c024c2A39885fA
Tx: 0x004e005320ec45adcc44cd8ae0a52e3673609e354cae080aa740208bf3eb7241
324.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0076001eaff8455a4076443aecbc45884bbbf6dd08a7bead9e88ac4e298c52eb