Spike bucket
07/19/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/19/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 07/19/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
85% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,987.29
Unexplained QUAI: 1,090.31
Explained QI: 310.84
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.6x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
7,077.59 QUAI
310.84 QI
Avg confidence
64.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0031FCb243C854543ac72de86297AeB4Eaf683a3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 7078 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0031FCb243C854543ac72de86297AeB4Eaf683a3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/19/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,955.18 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0031FCb243C854543ac72de86297AeB4Eaf683a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,611.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,020.64 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,011.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net receiver
Unknown type
841.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
7,077.59 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:19:13 A.M.
-1 min
12 tx
4,486.42 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:18:19 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
2,821.95 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:17:19 A.M.
+2 min
20 tx
11,765.07 QUAI • 34 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:20:30 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
12,292.77 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:21:29 A.M.
-3 min
16 tx
15,638.03 QUAI • 26 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:16:19 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate40 tx
54,216.14 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:15:19 A.M.
+4 min
19 tx
19,248.5 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/19/2026, 2:22:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,611.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031FCb243C854543ac72de86297AeB4Eaf683a3
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
310.84 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:40 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00010038b30ba31c571e477be3fe6d4be6a6b1aa97d6d56f4b2d2fee3b8a7ede
2,611.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031FCb243C854543ac72de86297AeB4Eaf683a3
Tx: 0x0065007be7711b2043b8780372da9e1ada51326f3f0ba50f5edf3f4600996400
54.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031b0602486E59481F84057a15B8c3cECea80bC
Tx: 0x002c0049c36db16822e3055f240f6cd72a2481e252af8b8ada9056056a5862c5
841.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x0030006f79aeb6acee7e57935f9cf9e521e7706086088d3627837a8fb6f1985a
343.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:32 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x002c0012bf2a47dd3fc4bbae1a25480cdb9d9a0a5a397e4133447c34cee57165
73.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006c9d5Df104e4E6612510Cb732e9140632592e7
Tx: 0x00160071f1f54de15da78131a501503bf4de9830dab8a6b0e70fabe9308b1499
810.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x006d001442d6364a0dce804def619ac05aae82a9ad062f489dc2b07307b4a14e
230.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Tx: 0x003b005a06aa8af8019ef5821f475cf58791400da0e13d6f12dbb8a2b3d707c1
594.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006bd1C12342D6ADA4d7cB54A8484f73808350DD
Tx: 0x002d004611aaadfc5a26016e7367c4296bded518c0d5b04eac53c679e5ce138b
58.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0030BAE143FD07361E4e49fE227bD1724899921c
Tx: 0x0029005cb3254bba4b51e249a8834a204328a6a0c95ac3d7695a5c0a31635b2a
368.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/19/2026, 2:19:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x0024004ec8889cddae5ea16fc464684bfbc91957c1a64aa8675d6afa9937bfb9
