Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 11:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 11:20:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 11:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,232.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
9.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
19,220.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19221 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 11:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
17,208.22 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
13,955.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001195110eEF010e08defc2b86069Efb86fb5Cb1
Net sender
Unknown type
3,032.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
2,012.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,012.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 17,208.22 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
19,220.54 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:20:28 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
40,483.79 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:19:28 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
2,012.33 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:21:28 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:18:28 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
2,066.89 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:22:28 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:17:28 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:23:28 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:16:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,955.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:20:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2,012.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:20:50 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x002e000d4c5510d94e00eed8f073ed48d87fca71a406ec90ab149222732a07ef
2,012.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:20:26 P.M.
From: 0x004150bb7F39756BE914eAb4Ad7DD9001a7480f5
To: 0x0007974BA1c3D0ADd0360879B8F7595eD78f7c3e
Tx: 0x00140038314f185f3876c36a16652575d41ddbd4c79f1230e800e66da8a2b320
106.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:20:10 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001800521f1e3b76764a9eb9f588975b29cb9d6311f512c4ff57e1009712c24a
3,032.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:20:10 P.M.
From: 0x001195110eEF010e08defc2b86069Efb86fb5Cb1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034005ea5d4dbc3c346d524df07644a023daac12bdf4584edf8801b7253cef4
13,955.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:20:10 P.M.
From: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051001dca413967e2184a534bef6b9af8be0e1fcb1023de032e42030f8eacf1
113.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:20:10 P.M.
From: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e005d39c7315fb74136ff4eb93d29de33c4409222af1e2a3efb2d3437c567