Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 9:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 9:23:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 9:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 419.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
419.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 419 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 9:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
419.39 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
Net sender
Unknown type
213.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
Net sender
Unknown type
103.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
101.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 419.39 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:22:58 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:21:58 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
419.39 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:23:59 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:20:58 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:24:58 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:19:59 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:25:59 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
602.07 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:18:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
213.5 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:23:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
103.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:23:35 P.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002000106d2cbbe63a4566c9710172489c6f6c39a00a7820841559a2c1fc7838
213.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:23:35 P.M.
From: 0x002968aA476B53587A7b734f6265Fa01cfe8FF5d
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c000e91d7b0efa52d44ca2cf273696cb8255807485d8394957db49fa66d6c
101.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:23:35 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0000004347426875b7928165c2803cbd492a2c6f831be1c9ed1da839c80f04eb