Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 9:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 9:09:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 9:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 323.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
323.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 323 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 9:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
323.38 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096
Net receiver
Unknown type
323.38 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096
3 repeated flows • 323.38 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:08:58 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
209.32 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:07:59 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
323.38 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:09:59 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:06:58 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
74.63 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:10:58 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
12,684.39 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:05:59 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
148.22 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:11:58 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:04:58 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
149.25 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
74.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:56 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096
Tx: 0x0055004b31e0c2b0f5e18d53e80c7244df0006035cfec78ea791a8072ffb6f6d
99.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:51 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096
Tx: 0x007000163fcab948db3af7aa69a173071d5f8e436a018111e4ded255f2bed282
149.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:22 P.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x002C2870e4fB0Ff4fe63bC4f4fFf344E9388f096
Tx: 0x004d005a36cfef37a9361d47eaddcad1248125f6e5293e833e3902c16a720db6