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Spike bucket

07/18/2026, 5:00:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/18/2026, 5:00:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 5:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,342.23
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
1,342.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00157BE7654198E81FdB754F3Dd9cbA7b77b3B01 • 0x005fd8Dc081Fa7eBE03c6600AdC097be2B2cdDbe.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1342 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00157BE7654198E81FdB754F3Dd9cbA7b77b3B01 • 0x005fd8Dc081Fa7eBE03c6600AdC097be2B2cdDbe.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 5:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00157BE7654198E81FdB754F3Dd9cbA7b77b3B01
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005fd8Dc081Fa7eBE03c6600AdC097be2B2cdDbe
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D8f7d83ba60a95d79c2B72F10e01b530Acb70
Net sender
Unknown type
459 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000339034166C508246186291BDA3Ec86362Cc8D
Net receiver
Unknown type
459 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c7320d9653c7bf7d45D55F29DD5be209EdC57
Net sender
Unknown type
383.23 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 383.23 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 5:00:26 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00157BE7654198E81FdB754F3Dd9cbA7b77b3B01
To: 0x005fd8Dc081Fa7eBE03c6600AdC097be2B2cdDbe

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 5:00:26 P.M.
From: 0x00157BE7654198E81FdB754F3Dd9cbA7b77b3B01
To: 0x005fd8Dc081Fa7eBE03c6600AdC097be2B2cdDbe
Tx: 0x00030068340879bf26a0f71c0a8ca02a0060988bf63c9da1b4b9bb669add3cf5
383.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 5:00:08 P.M.
From: 0x001c7320d9653c7bf7d45D55F29DD5be209EdC57
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b003bac21730ba4376632491d3d93fcfb6cd380dc035068738b376ed4aa56
Open txWallet profile
459 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 5:00:08 P.M.
From: 0x002D8f7d83ba60a95d79c2B72F10e01b530Acb70
To: 0x000339034166C508246186291BDA3Ec86362Cc8D
Tx: 0x0042000daabc81aad99929dbe01849f6b5bcfbaffa285198d8b95a94714c56fc