Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 3:25:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 3:26:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
36% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,929.72
Unexplained QUAI: 3,408.66
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 16% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
18
Observable rows
7
38.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
5,338.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 5338 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 3:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (64% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (36%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,929.72 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
Net sender
Unknown type
307.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22
Net sender
Unknown type
276.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
Net sender
Unknown type
271.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055d86A564A4B4E159540cC0AA6EdfD132243A9
Net sender
Unknown type
270.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,929.72 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
20,909.36 QUAI • 36 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:24:43 P.M.
-1 min
12 tx
10,308.86 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:23:43 P.M.
+1 min
18 tx
5,338.38 QUAI • 32 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:25:43 P.M.
-2 min
13 tx
24,048.76 QUAI • 27 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:22:43 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:26:43 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate9 tx
210,036.77 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:21:43 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,500 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:27:43 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:20:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
307.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:25:01 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
266.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c0066a946947f8fa91cc736d34b5751d39a1205e3c95fd99a12a065ae55ae
271.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x00054a786531c76C6FEE8ea225EEA43aEc70643c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a00105135f974c99e35018fa8e9eaf88044d8dfbc22ac8381bc71fcec8d59
269.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x000a223e74Bcd7059A53b02Fa13EDAdF34549310
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00040031387a8dcee07edd5c590641582ba36cf9cf92165dc86bcd6405c83983
276.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f004e0d404181cd0fae4d37607f28cbfb04641920d2fc5ee666d8b4066fa3
267.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:25:30 P.M.
From: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0014004d2ae150704896353322ffee7b4bec3f926a69c87faaab8d1e0609e97f
307.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:25:01 P.M.
From: 0x001CC38277169d97F3751721Abf7e2AA18D76715
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0007005d04da3912a1e0001b3aca79d79a5a216857ea0b04d97e9bc52deed902
270.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:25:01 P.M.
From: 0x0055d86A564A4B4E159540cC0AA6EdfD132243A9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0055002c0cff3af228b87fc0359fffd0fecef9b59ac88dba6b69add47d6c8c3a