Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,151.3
Unexplained QUAI: 5,157.56
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 16% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
7
58.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
10,308.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0074cb0ccCBF287D10EBd37378c5d1b18CC8AECe.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 10309 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0074cb0ccCBF287D10EBd37378c5d1b18CC8AECe.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,151.3 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0074cb0ccCBF287D10EBd37378c5d1b18CC8AECe
Net sender
Unknown type
832.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
Net sender
Unknown type
796.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net sender
Unknown type
785.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Net sender
Unknown type
723.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,151.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
24,048.76 QUAI • 27 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:22:43 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate9 tx
210,036.77 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:21:43 P.M.
+1 min
12 tx
10,308.86 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:23:43 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:20:42 P.M.
+2 min
23 tx
20,909.36 QUAI • 36 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:24:43 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:19:43 P.M.
+3 min
18 tx
5,338.38 QUAI • 32 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:25:43 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
10,319.55 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:18:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
832.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:23:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0074cb0ccCBF287D10EBd37378c5d1b18CC8AECe
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
675.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:23:20 P.M.
From: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079006bf19538420203f2a9d1cfc6a4af287f04785e6d060808b1e96fd8c336
670.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:23:14 P.M.
From: 0x005453C6f1408B5899c20D3fb1b05D89333aBeAE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0076006e1da4f421aff0aeb1454cc32e3605badc5e42fb54722cf76342ff97f4
667.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:23:14 P.M.
From: 0x005a0701d5111De546C5614A04C8eA96EB2CCA0D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067000f86ba14aa83114892292e126fbce0cbb6cb664e8506b24b11971c1d9a
796.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:23:04 P.M.
From: 0x00418F8526484015C9cd5683D20DCC56F362FA48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00700037c38e15378c417dfbf767ce67d6e8fbe700864e21f3f6d794d5f00b40
785.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:23:04 P.M.
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003600445e0d242f69a290e4d55161793370225c863cdbd61a875197b08ddea9
832.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:23:04 P.M.
From: 0x0074cb0ccCBF287D10EBd37378c5d1b18CC8AECe
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e005ffe9e3124a9748106edb24d68f9b992330da8ef68739e267ca5f8908b
723.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:23:04 P.M.
From: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006800201dc8d667cef92a58640d0eda8866da2a69ee4c053021aea890516183