Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 2:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 2:35:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 2:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,525.47
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
3.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
19,525.47 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19525 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 2:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,515.47 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
Net sender
Unknown type
13,524.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
Net sender
Unknown type
5,990.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011925CEC11026705291DF247D59B3DE0045944
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,515.47 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:34:42 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
5,000 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:33:42 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
19,525.47 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:35:42 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
36.66 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:32:42 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
28,038.43 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:36:42 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:31:42 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:37:42 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
5,665.48 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:30:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,524.66 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:35:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
13,524.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:35:38 P.M.
From: 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047007360737e5d1b19efdf61c0dd913ec07590675eed4ce44254f5eb04369b
5,990.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:35:38 P.M.
From: 0x00423Cd3e536DB52995c764D6Ced35F949DAFE84
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f00614b12574ba57ce8869a04000bfbc7af38ad5a283c45a9ab3c6304cdf6
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:35:38 P.M.
From: 0x0011925CEC11026705291DF247D59B3DE0045944
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x0075000914619055f8c34f1f5560586c5690126aea740a38d5278295beefd1d5
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:35:38 P.M.
From: 0x0011925CEC11026705291DF247D59B3DE0045944
To: StratumX miner
0x000cc9b297B5D1AaE46Cd4325D303D978Fb71f63
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0030004f331072d08ab2c7618be4065257c4276d5aa5be73f7adfb7b7e67ae01