Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 2:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 2:17:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 2:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 135,317.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
28,063.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 28063 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 2:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
135,317.18 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Net sender
Unknown type
93,589.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
Net receiver
Unknown type
28,063.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net receiver
Unknown type
13,549.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
114.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 93,703.83 QUAI
From exchange: 41,613.35 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
6,016.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:16:42 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
46,999.5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:15:42 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
28,063.43 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:17:42 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
70,534.61 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:14:42 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate3 tx
107,253.75 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:18:42 P.M.
-3 min
20 tx
882.62 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:13:43 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
9,529.94 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:19:42 P.M.
-4 min
52 tx
554.94 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:12:43 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
93,589.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:17:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
114.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:17:45 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f0006feed8e76309ae75a7147b2a378c0eedf6015e008e2118662f8adc30f
93,589.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:17:45 P.M.
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a00013ea794e0ad0d4e703c0253ecd03e04baa0ccbade98766d4a9e8e68e8
13,549.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:17:45 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Tx: 0x00630040a909c3234da743b7ee3cf4166f569f28b9385defb516e55eca25eeeb
28,063.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:17:26 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
Tx: 0x000100123abea738f30dac7c12ff9613327cfba614b399232000663f0c3bce1c
