Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 2:14:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 2:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
43% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 30,539.1
Unexplained QUAI: 39,995.51
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
127x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
70,534.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182 • 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 70535 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182 • 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (57% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (43%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
21,021.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
Net sender
Unknown type
18,073.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
9,517.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Net receiver
Unknown type
9,517.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
Net sender
Unknown type
2,948.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 9,517.37 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
882.62 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:13:43 P.M.
-1 min
52 tx
554.94 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:12:43 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
70,534.61 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:14:42 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
47,000 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:11:42 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
46,999.5 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:15:42 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
114,612.51 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:10:42 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
6,016.07 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:16:42 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
39,996 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:09:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
18,073.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:14:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2,948.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:14:36 P.M.
From: 0x004BA899C8C36D6D461b88254f69F46Ee49C8a77
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0036002d4e0895002e48a3cbe470fd5cac14d5937617c51e0017d1e7c6b68f69
18,073.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:14:36 P.M.
From: 0x007540786398af467fbB1d34BA3E61516dc0bAC6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000e0065f251517f77af0a0e522fe7cc51e6202a6f955ccd590351577c9dfcf3
9,517.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:14:13 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x003b9aDC47853F64Dee2174861DE67c57bB872DB
Tx: 0x007c005cfce4890e241d1e02b27e759e626dd485df0135ed1440996290814ef6