Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 2:12:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
10% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 53.44
Unexplained QUAI: 501.5
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
2
3.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
61
Asset volume
554.94 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 555 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (90% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (10%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
50.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
47,000 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:11:42 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
114,612.51 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:10:42 P.M.
+1 min
52 tx
554.94 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:12:43 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
39,996 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:09:42 P.M.
+2 min
20 tx
882.62 QUAI • 29 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:13:43 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
13,242.27 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:08:43 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
70,534.61 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:14:42 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:07:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
50.99 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:12:03 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
50.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:12:03 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
Tx: 0x0009000656784055d25f562bf2a9829aac5e82f0ce932806c86c172d17387050
2.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:12:03 P.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x00250034a18c0a3c19177b0fb1f55de9b8c6f67727a4da6b005dcc81122a073c