Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 1:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 1:14:00 P.M. to 07/18/2026, 1:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,633
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
2.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
1,633 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1633 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 1:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,337.44 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
Net sender
Unknown type
1,032.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
295.56 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
143.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
136.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,337.44 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
52 tx
642.57 QUAI • 64 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:13:27 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
1,633 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:14:44 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:12:09 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:15:43 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:11:10 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:10:09 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
12,122.84 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:09:09 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:18:44 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,032.36 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:14:23 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
101.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:14:23 P.M.
From: 0x0036eFB8D70493c0c033e5cF97EA4Cec2C0e9dd6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004300043861c044409e661a3c0326c1d7da0b8c7d30d90762aa8795f0d1d216
1,032.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:14:23 P.M.
From: 0x004Cf58Bc9118c3B094dc138A059e40a5A6A36a3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560022f58232ee6f3d943e37731e9e37b2acb0cc1a63240baa7fc498fece18
102.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:14:23 P.M.
From: 0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e0064de1612a85abe465afb7ea7b7511e04ca00d011f28cdcefa389500f90
101.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:14:23 P.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0022001c4209b318e09bc363367b1323cf7856d2a2bc7a4acb4e5bc50961e1eb
136.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:14:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0048007db25c8d8551fa05a9b9c444bc12105cd173a967149a9faa8c6820215b
143.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:14:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0019002b4b05c39cd8f36fc68f81096894990f390a02040025bac917997b030f
15.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:14:06 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x006c0045aa491ce77cc15458b7964d73a6e708572786a689c32402b456b703a4