Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 11:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 11:39:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 11:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
62% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3.08
Unexplained QUAI: 1.92
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 97% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x00717bADD131dAcE84fC727e8ca1bd68D376B6b9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 5 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x00717bADD131dAcE84fC727e8ca1bd68D376B6b9.
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a -> 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 11:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (38% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
Net sender
Unknown type
3.08 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00717bADD131dAcE84fC727e8ca1bd68D376B6b9
Net receiver
Unknown type
3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.05 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a → 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
2 repeated flows • 0.05 QUAI
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a → 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
2 repeated flows • 0.02 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
5 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:39:27 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:38:10 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate10 tx
11,224.23 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:36:52 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
3.08 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:41:25 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
12.12 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:35:51 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
1.01 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:34:51 A.M.
-5 min
11 tx
7,830.06 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:33:49 A.M.
-6 min
9 tx
47.89 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/18/2026, 11:32:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:39:34 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x00717bADD131dAcE84fC727e8ca1bd68D376B6b9
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
0.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:39:55 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Tx: 0x0068007fb4cfcd644531ade0e9e1768b7ec1f5c9eb4097ab6ffb6c7254bd0606
0 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:39:55 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x006b002186c58d3decd3e6d3f59e941c5232d3a3caa5d64ca2b9d2ad9cd2ea10
0.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:39:34 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Tx: 0x0005003960f65d9a8d5dbb67c186286a4e242805c5ca2b3536717d21ef0cdba0
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:39:34 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x005a00748c0e19fd8e0ebc434204d3cb600e4b7e342224aef01bd9ef7e68a045
3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 11:39:34 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x00717bADD131dAcE84fC727e8ca1bd68D376B6b9
Tx: 0x0072006640dcace8eb21dbd90945d5a93406f8ef6e7bb6193d08f19860cd0db1