Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 9:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 9:23:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 9:24:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
9% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5.05
Unexplained QUAI: 51.85
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
11x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
56.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x0041aAc2B355fF75715C3f74462052423f45005E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 57 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x0041aAc2B355fF75715C3f74462052423f45005E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 9:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (91% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (9%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
Net sender
Unknown type
5.05 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0041aAc2B355fF75715C3f74462052423f45005E
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
56.9 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:23:10 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:24:06 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,152.93 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:21:06 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
9,998.55 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:19:06 A.M.
+6 min
4 tx
10,129.72 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:29:06 A.M.
+7 min
1 tx
1,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:30:06 A.M.
-8 min
11 tx
830.17 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:15:06 A.M.
+8 min
1 tx
200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:31:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:23:40 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x0041aAc2B355fF75715C3f74462052423f45005E
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:23:40 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x0041aAc2B355fF75715C3f74462052423f45005E
Tx: 0x001e00489d22e811e94ee0e545480bc552a7e731bdeaad22faab0ebc2f4df7d7
0.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:23:40 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Tx: 0x00040073445de8877df7ae3f3715f1ded9bb389f72813b582fbb4012f11d7174
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:23:40 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x003c0048ed4981386fe1ef6495216221ee48afb65048ba5de18b1c0c0d246f73