Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 9:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 9:09:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 9:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8.72
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x00468a71d69769ecf2ed8E53607b9569CaC8D2C3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x00468a71d69769ecf2ed8E53607b9569CaC8D2C3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 9:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
Net sender
Unknown type
5.05 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00468a71d69769ecf2ed8E53607b9569CaC8D2C3
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
10,043.8 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:08:06 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
8.72 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:10:06 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:07:06 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
337.09 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:06:06 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:05:06 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate52 tx
10,775.09 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:13:07 A.M.
+5 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:14:06 A.M.
+6 min
11 tx
830.17 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:15:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:46 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x00468a71d69769ecf2ed8E53607b9569CaC8D2C3
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:46 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x00468a71d69769ecf2ed8E53607b9569CaC8D2C3
Tx: 0x0047003b2895ab84152eeda987895007367b694eb2fc005d7235f70f37c82295
0.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:46 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Tx: 0x0005000d81d9b70f6028ad71fea93c389d8821b3c2580fe9dddf3caeb1cb2fae
3.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:46 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0034007dc88b4341623e2901908903abf79d5e4857031f06f545b42951edafe0
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:09:46 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0073006386adb78c9c50093ca1d5b33af747443818fc7ec256dcd8b25ce624dd