Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 9:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 9:06:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 9:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5.05
Unexplained QUAI: 332.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
67x previous minute
67x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
337.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x005C96D1552823A9EEA4216485F83c80927f46cA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 337 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x005C96D1552823A9EEA4216485F83c80927f46cA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 9:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
Net sender
Unknown type
5.05 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x005C96D1552823A9EEA4216485F83c80927f46cA
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
337.09 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:06:06 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:05:06 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:07:06 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10,043.8 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:08:06 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:02:06 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
8.72 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:10:06 A.M.
-7 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:59:06 A.M.
+7 min
Best candidate52 tx
10,775.09 QUAI • 55 addresses
07/18/2026, 9:13:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:06:47 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x005C96D1552823A9EEA4216485F83c80927f46cA
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:06:47 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x005C96D1552823A9EEA4216485F83c80927f46cA
Tx: 0x0070006263e710f291da01691b2e8a765731e381f08823c9d35a74204d6f16a3
0.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:06:47 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Tx: 0x0050001bbfbde10dce06799fde21cdf06e2449c7a502d6dd984284dc9f31bdf7
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 9:06:47 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x001d002a0774d5a442959fb2974fd7a5f374222276eac0ba8a70c98b6578e365