Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 8:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 8:22:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 8:23:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10.1
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
10.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x004a7a1479d628406d15503d026859295F274898.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a • 0x004a7a1479d628406d15503d026859295F274898.
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a -> 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 8:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
Net sender
Unknown type
10.1 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x004a7a1479d628406d15503d026859295F274898
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0049824B088b3150D437FFa3810605F9e54B4b7e
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.07 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.03 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a → 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
2 repeated flows • 0.07 QUAI
0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a → 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
2 repeated flows • 0.03 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:21:51 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
5.05 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:20:51 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
10.1 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:22:51 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
9.39 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:19:51 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10,285.6 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:23:51 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
9,999.12 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:24:51 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
218.59 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:17:51 A.M.
+5 min
Best candidate5 tx
11,850.79 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 8:26:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 8:22:46 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004a7a1479d628406d15503d026859295F274898
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 8:22:46 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004a7a1479d628406d15503d026859295F274898
Tx: 0x003b0045531db64b4ee844a27c9aacf9207042445abde9f961bc788cf90a6544
0.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 8:22:46 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Tx: 0x006300262017b01d9573a72cb864dfff0b9975e36eaf11fe306f4caae26e55a8
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 8:22:46 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0062005e5252a6af52fad74f07fcfe8278cb7fb15a63cf557e1cfd1cac514a09
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 8:22:05 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x0049824B088b3150D437FFa3810605F9e54B4b7e
Tx: 0x0064007c9f5bd984ddef2ea6f3e8ed39a55b83016561838b4c3f48a8d5c64541
0.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 8:22:05 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x004f74F8485727a321C0ac0e5cCDA3F61d60Aa44
Tx: 0x00170021e5a796e755b164b0da62a8378a3a25d778ab8d5ad656822489500493
0.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 8:22:05 A.M.
From: 0x0037617c4C950D1D88c94Fa39DcBF3203519d62a
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x00500022414170b17204e94b09d134e2fcc1dff27e5cf18eb303e7b656a1eae7