Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 6:38:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 6:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,416.66
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
10,416.66 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10417 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,281.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,281.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
135.47 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x003976f8c2428e7A79e3679D20920DAD5BFD5D68
Net sender
Unknown type
104.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Net sender
Unknown type
9.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,067.03 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 6:37:49 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
10,416.66 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 6:38:50 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
156 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 6:39:50 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 6:33:49 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
58,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 6:41:49 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
2.45 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 6:32:50 A.M.
-7 min
3 tx
3,245.04 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 6:30:50 A.M.
-9 min
1 tx
105.94 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 6:28:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,281.19 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 6:38:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
4.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 6:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a006d22faceb34f376ee58dffb98aa84cc8231e028874b2089a328272089f
6.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 6:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0043005193cfa7765eb8175349cd4bb75ea42d7fd72e148ddfd5a2294781b8a7
104.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 6:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x003976f8c2428e7A79e3679D20920DAD5BFD5D68
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0058001e3e4679ef7c7cf25706f4edcb454eb1f903e1769fd0904664c57bd068
4.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 6:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c0027e9a14a1e1657c9438eae564e291065bbe417f9278181e99ad8f7a1a2
6.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 6:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005d00752cdf453c3681b32bc54123376cbce1a8c39bd5c45485419d5ec4ebcd
9.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 6:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002000150dfab0805e5a54021dc237a912eef9174680d16d2378da5c3947f2dd
10,281.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 6:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00330077f5d9a2a5f82e2307bc47826033823796cf67879941799a38ac41a00b