Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 4:37:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 4:37:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 4:38:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,911.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
2,911.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2911 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 4:37:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,911.16 QUAI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
1,956.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
954.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 1,956.7 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 4:36:48 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
2,911.16 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 4:37:48 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
10,000 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 4:33:48 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
16,564.8 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/18/2026, 4:32:48 A.M.
+5 min
2 tx
5,169.02 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 4:41:48 A.M.
-7 min
2 tx
16,490.28 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 4:29:48 A.M.
+7 min
2 tx
3,284.22 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 4:43:48 A.M.
-8 min
3 tx
17.42 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 4:28:48 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,956.7 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 4:37:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,956.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 4:37:07 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x000f0066da81592c156ada100586d202d9d6fbb0e406f2fabb352fbc7c2d42ad
954.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 4:37:07 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x0014001f50eaf0088b7552016eaa46f2cd197596e042a2ece7db0ad57c755d27