Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 3:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 3:53:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 3:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
30 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97 • 0x00173bf8bb0911e9B6A13686E5d22C6948614160.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 30 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97 • 0x00173bf8bb0911e9B6A13686E5d22C6948614160.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 3:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
Net receiver
Unknown type
40 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00173bf8bb0911e9B6A13686E5d22C6948614160
Net sender
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0042C5Da476A5E0009744A10A1cd7d041a7A2f27
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b08b78dC6D8Cd6508071ec736719F9165a61d
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
2 tx
30 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:53:48 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
20 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:54:48 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
2,005 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:55:48 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
2.09 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:48:48 A.M.
-6 min
1 tx
2,000 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:46:48 A.M.
-7 min
1 tx
7,569.71 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:45:48 A.M.
+7 min
1 tx
168.04 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:59:48 A.M.
-12 min
Best candidate1 tx
7,570.19 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:40:48 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
20 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:53:27 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00173bf8bb0911e9B6A13686E5d22C6948614160
To: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:53:50 A.M.
From: 0x0042C5Da476A5E0009744A10A1cd7d041a7A2f27
To: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
Tx: 0x002a003286b4ff60c4572104fa560e40f42a0b810fa94837e74c5a8aa4c4552e
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:53:45 A.M.
From: 0x003b08b78dC6D8Cd6508071ec736719F9165a61d
To: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
Tx: 0x004d0075ebff886fb6ee8add541ba7fa3cb58f7ebf0cd27289716ee94e628104
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:53:27 A.M.
From: 0x00173bf8bb0911e9B6A13686E5d22C6948614160
To: 0x000C325AFba59B33925234e86d22f7DeCE7a1D97
Tx: 0x007200229d8847df9e6de4eae4fd03a8bd50c849e7dfb05d9bb9c647858cd490