Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 3:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 3:02:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,895.49
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
7,627.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004e7806d75DC7901263A152b7da596a06E196bD.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 7628 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004e7806d75DC7901263A152b7da596a06E196bD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 3:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,895.49 QUAI across 10 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004e7806d75DC7901263A152b7da596a06E196bD
Net sender
Unknown type
2,158.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
Net sender
Unknown type
1,063.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038A76885c48e7DB846F9205b8bc1f82940ed2A
Net sender
Unknown type
999.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
Net sender
Unknown type
825.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,895.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,610.91 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:00:47 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
7,627.98 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:02:48 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,337.72 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:59:48 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
267.52 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:03:47 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
1,858.27 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:58:48 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
65 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:04:48 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
2,752.95 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:57:47 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
19,610.43 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 3:05:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,158.19 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7806d75DC7901263A152b7da596a06E196bD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
152.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:54 A.M.
From: 0x0078D27e875EFE426ea36388E4E30033E3c6Df4b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c00486664e90ccf2de44329d4d2db3b91c9f6003e7859826e61ac2e5606fe
114.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:54 A.M.
From: 0x004Dd3B0944abF0EA6fCC7264c3b78F0889c683C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b0006e7aa3ec756ad9def6bc84a15a5e12450e0abafce4e7449af9a291168
999.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
From: 0x0038A76885c48e7DB846F9205b8bc1f82940ed2A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045001e382787b313481c806dd8681bfb480d8bde560f8e9528bdcaae9271f1
2,158.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
From: 0x004e7806d75DC7901263A152b7da596a06E196bD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0051c5982d49b05dea9775ab69c4fe37eca96f30b0931bafce4ea47b29bf
753.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
From: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028003e15f2668a50beb09706f2e4acf3f8574400013fc26fbd216bbb8d2afc
693.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
From: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e007dcb23d5a55fd597377b3e20ed276a03344170dee07cf44599991a9b4e
637.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
From: 0x006d01c04C111068604F9C3cB0948eDc6a1808A0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004900757273a8dbf1e523d48ba420e948c55b45419b12218bc93563467744c6
1,063.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
From: 0x006ff87EEfb83a33245692fEE7017B1c599dcc40
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f005adaa3833904772d959b14edd1e6744ca88fc5b3f99d62b369ff3362a4
496.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
From: 0x007289C3f0e5E99F9F8fcf22369Ce5893101697f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0070001f45784dac4a40d025ba845995489344a1072bbbf1b84c62f67b390652
825.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 3:02:16 A.M.
From: 0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e0004e1f46811b5d858bd0bfb7b9819b3643131959072473c7c056864883f
