Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 2:32:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,725.72
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
5,725.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5726 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,997.47 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,728.24 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0031FCb243C854543ac72de86297AeB4Eaf683a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,278.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,048.09 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
351.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
1,793.57 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:31:47 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
12,498.21 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:30:47 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
5,725.72 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:32:47 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
11,433.84 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:29:47 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
9,581.79 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:33:48 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate17 tx
17,987.89 QUAI • 22 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:28:48 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
9,178.88 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:34:47 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
3,249.9 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/18/2026, 2:27:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,278.09 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:20 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031FCb243C854543ac72de86297AeB4Eaf683a3
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
301.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034c9818589329b7742f70e91ad5D9149417DE4
Tx: 0x007400652e41799f3669cdbfbc49e4bb5a4347f181c388fa4e11f9f9b5f347bb
284.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x00200068fb282c420640881613ff4eb03ed89dc906ff338083e70093b6b9b896
217.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x00360072e471e78d6e178270fd90545b19a22b252e5c96fa8c4e52c24a443f4b
44.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B22f639A7A149De3ea47Fd46F70A42e5A0D8d
Tx: 0x002b0046e230f46746392d99d3e395582df0e4f0f78fd131a4f94eb28a16bf13
2,048.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Tx: 0x005d002beff9276124e8370de2aadb089274515328a0b0ef5d3d00457b91351f
2,278.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031FCb243C854543ac72de86297AeB4Eaf683a3
Tx: 0x0059001915aa7093cdf9d2c49e76c93da47cc1b0c55c93516023f5adb549ee05
351.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:14 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x001d005270a2efba81ab0377909b16157162df9794ebbc754b25054cc70ea05b
201.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 2:32:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0031527A7b6f11Ae2baA55389C3a257ed2f3EF72
Tx: 0x004100708bf3a10406abac3f3dcf0f0a6b65a66cb1b0168ae898c41205dcd2b1
