Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 1:38:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 369.62
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
269.62 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0012859F1c0B05364098814C57bd670e50451905 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 270 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0012859F1c0B05364098814C57bd670e50451905 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
0x0012859F1c0B05364098814C57bd670e50451905 -> 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0012859F1c0B05364098814C57bd670e50451905
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
169.62 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
Net sender
Unknown type
149.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
Net sender
Unknown type
7.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0012859F1c0B05364098814C57bd670e50451905 → 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
2 repeated flows • 200 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
100.13 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:37:47 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
269.62 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:38:47 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:39:47 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
10,201.1 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:34:47 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2,959.81 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:40:47 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
19,531.76 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:33:47 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
15,100.6 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:41:47 A.M.
-9 min
3 tx
5,318.86 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:28:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
149.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:38:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:38:59 A.M.
From: 0x0012859F1c0B05364098814C57bd670e50451905
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001e007f3f6b2d04c2614a73466689bc79b6cf8b13be7a5e2f4a7dad44cf70e8
149.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:38:14 A.M.
From: 0x006B2D6e1424bC02db1691625CbdAfCD97f89366
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003d004dea40feafba95fe6e3211241faa036aa0a71a7defefbe07154220a0c9
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:38:14 A.M.
From: 0x0012859F1c0B05364098814C57bd670e50451905
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003f0044175adfeb3c7559759c7e40d49a786d8f8bbd05b754ad861c9451f9e2
4.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:38:14 A.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002a004a713108be3f23c43fd6e83576763699273a0c6495ee4a9b53212c26b8
7.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:38:14 A.M.
From: 0x00640f915Ad4fd45d88CF25C77E7cF9F121dbDFd
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b00746b75eac06957351fed11203761056c206f270f4b25a9233fed5bea7d
7.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:38:14 A.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0042005e7d750b2b8e497e00137d2655b7e7d3399c4eaa841ac294a529f1b4e0