Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 1:09:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 1:09:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 1:10:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 55,853.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
19,650.13 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19650 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 1:09:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
49,676.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
49,676.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0029d5d6AA23A49E61b03516DDb8aca1BBd7dECf
Net sender
Unknown type
4,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00094fFe9339777A505042127733d47aCE19d90b
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005EAf3705c3b970e8275e027Ea343856a562C73
Net sender
Unknown type
1,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 49,676.29 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
26,560.44 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:08:46 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
32,482.63 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:07:46 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
19,650.13 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:09:46 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
45,693.19 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:06:46 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
51,177.29 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:10:46 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate6 tx
136,583.85 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:05:46 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
9,531.3 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:11:46 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
115,679 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:04:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
49,676.29 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:09:55 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
49,676.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:09:55 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x007b00136d9ffa3672c681a7ba30d1ff0d25a72e1e0f5805e74ddde2ec7442ce
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:09:55 A.M.
From: 0x00459A2c082Aa5e13AEC8EaC17F18ea6017fcd37
To: 0x002C624DA7b84fFABeC62BD50D5d27147fCaf630
Tx: 0x004d00040ad91ee15d1bfb40da66b57ff083f8b057d0241f9ab3f3b6c604f05c
1,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:09:55 A.M.
From: 0x005EAf3705c3b970e8275e027Ea343856a562C73
To: 0x0045f750a50051d7c5c8108D6A8d58574d3F7d3C
Tx: 0x001a003112e8ffb68400732752207741fa91cf20c4e23b0fc55e3bedf638ad47
3.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0045B1d3bC500d6fBE8A0503d158B530137dA78d
Tx: 0x0071005c633834cffbb1b2f4c96d01762bb877bbadfadd50b2475bcba5a6751a
172.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:09:36 A.M.
From: 0x002c9c31aCE1E8B70053d4Eb5F5c1A55E7825963
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00330064ef1c7b1d4fa2e998b7b76fc506396bc8e5a259c640e3405f02ccc49c
4,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:09:07 A.M.
From: 0x0029d5d6AA23A49E61b03516DDb8aca1BBd7dECf
To: 0x00094fFe9339777A505042127733d47aCE19d90b
Tx: 0x00280052c9961e48f368e7fa548605f27b18bae4da5cbc5b57912e0d76a2c57c