Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 1:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 1:06:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 1:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 46,248.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
45,693.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 45693 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 1:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
19,646.82 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
15,042.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,042.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00034d545E459ecB741D91B95ce68AC4C67698Cd
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,893.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,087.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 19,646.82 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
136,583.85 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:05:46 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
115,679 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:04:46 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
45,693.19 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:06:46 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
89,357.77 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:03:46 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
32,482.63 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:07:46 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
11,504.62 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:02:46 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
26,560.44 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:08:46 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
19,650.13 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:09:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,042.45 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:06:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
10,087.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:06:58 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x0058002d9b79fe425a4a134f265826f8f0a75b7e68c014e1b68556f5c8a405dd
15,042.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:06:36 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x00169E165598836157b4Bd9E67437EC05A2735Ca
Tx: 0x003c0043fb6d8902b3b954edae344c611918316b7f53934c0410db40a34616a5
14,893.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:06:17 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00034d545E459ecB741D91B95ce68AC4C67698Cd
Tx: 0x005d0046517e81999e0085f2eb2fd5f75b72ff33ec5fa8eadb1537f2c4ae433f
4,753.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:06:17 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x007C376eBa9c310c58cab727B100fcB5535cFb5a
Tx: 0x002f005368d7e0e681b91907fa55006739d94315a4c4ad118df3ee69a5e4bd91
1,472.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:06:17 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x00360E0Ce5684420FB9c7CF308a4c90204545f22
Tx: 0x002f0073791dd5f40ece1edf9d91b264789ffc05ae6b08c55ad4df9d1e0c94f5