Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 1:05:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 1:05:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 1:06:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 145,942.15
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
136,583.85 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002d0952961f8786A1990Bceb9e0CeAEE1Cf58fc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 136584 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002d0952961f8786A1990Bceb9e0CeAEE1Cf58fc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 1:05:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
100,861.63 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002d0952961f8786A1990Bceb9e0CeAEE1Cf58fc
Net sender
Unknown type
78,018.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
32,068.71 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005b496D69bB6Bfa433c4C6892c87F563920ceb2
Net receiver
Unknown type
22,537.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net sender
Unknown type
13,011.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 100,861.63 QUAI
From exchange: 32,068.71 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
115,679 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:04:46 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
89,357.77 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:03:46 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
136,583.85 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:05:46 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
11,504.62 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:02:46 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
45,693.19 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:06:46 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
32,482.63 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:07:46 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
26,560.44 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 1:08:46 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
10,999.48 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:59:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
78,018.45 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:05:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d0952961f8786A1990Bceb9e0CeAEE1Cf58fc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
9,531.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:05:47 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00345F5FAF385112d83B0Ada1BEcda46d63ab0B6
Tx: 0x0030004cb7e85f4269b2d2232e4168ee38d79dbd090f90ed9480ce194f8551a9
13,011.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:05:20 A.M.
From: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
To: 0x0010dC8eb87AF4AC2FBcEba023af11b83de4e243
Tx: 0x00230033dbbd5e358d752a46ab09935d9117ef4464fad62545b63df58a3dd91a
11,338.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:05:16 A.M.
From: 0x006a78E1a4117165F1e496399123481F433E6E89
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f005822a14557cd6f62407e10230d9e23f699e89e232bf63e4192f61dc603
11,504.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:05:16 A.M.
From: 0x0019d56C6a7028799429a27A56C93b45Fe0D76Dd
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0011fa6deb16835c7f3c989bed11049e9832fd432571c56435f53bbe7418
78,018.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:05:16 A.M.
From: 0x002d0952961f8786A1990Bceb9e0CeAEE1Cf58fc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00770077634320d834ccedbbae2a4b7d0876419cd1247fc369d8a819461f4cab
22,537.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 1:05:16 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x005b496D69bB6Bfa433c4C6892c87F563920ceb2
Tx: 0x000900322084d3e42112c6edb3e023c28a0dadce87832afa23799c80fa0c026f