Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 12:28:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 12:28:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 12:29:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 258.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
258.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 258 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 12:28:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
257.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
Net receiver
Unknown type
257.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005760C65Eaa2D9eF2851FC883230ada8a1867c4
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
2 repeated flows • 257.34 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
85.71 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:27:46 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
171.67 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:26:46 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
258.34 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:28:46 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
85.86 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:25:46 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,031.72 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:29:46 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
85.81 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:24:46 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
108.7 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:23:46 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
162.03 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:31:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
171.53 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:28:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
171.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:28:31 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
Tx: 0x006d003e96c6a966061e7de79f9bf110b7d1ab383204e91a465e23687bd8de9a
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:28:31 A.M.
From: 0x005760C65Eaa2D9eF2851FC883230ada8a1867c4
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0050007c1acae838f7974d9a4d50cd71a4329e7602f70fb15e580ae2ea21416c
85.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:28:09 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
Tx: 0x001a003dc97936a42dab7f9b105fb210cba89017925086bee7bb534d65216d81
