Spike bucket
07/18/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/18/2026, 12:18:00 A.M. to 07/18/2026, 12:19:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 227.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
227.18 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 227 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c • 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/18/2026, 12:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
217.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
Net receiver
Unknown type
217.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
5.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
Net sender
Unknown type
4.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
2 repeated flows • 217.39 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
143.02 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:17:46 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
227.18 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:18:46 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
281.87 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:19:46 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
856.01 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:14:46 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
810.04 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:20:46 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
102.97 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:21:46 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate50 tx
2,477.92 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:12:46 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
102.97 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/18/2026, 12:22:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
114.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:18:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
114.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:18:41 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
Tx: 0x001b0047eb9b984e9e97c8c7e46ca16056e1d09304bf790ff58ff9ca004891dc
5.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:18:10 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001b006c8da2d40c9c871f950685600f237531d7e7b5a3c057ebe42b91374ace
102.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:18:02 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0005c53B1B820cBFa98B21F1C87D7F1B1cf2B4bD
Tx: 0x00520032ddbb1364eead60477a49fdb308ea8067745dc622568010291ec3d024
4.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/18/2026, 12:18:02 A.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002d00672e45c20beda97c908647223f8687a8d50955f13d34d0d54b806aeadc