Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 11:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 11:25:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 11:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 34,054.65
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
23,586.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 23587 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 11:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Balanced
Exchange
34,054.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Net receiver
Unknown type
23,586.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,467.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,467.74 QUAI
From exchange: 23,586.91 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
24,999.45 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:23:54 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
23,586.91 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:25:54 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10,467.74 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:26:54 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10,468.02 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:21:54 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
105.93 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:28:54 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
4,721.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:19:54 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
5.06 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:18:54 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
23,586.36 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:30:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
23,586.91 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 11:25:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
10,467.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 11:25:59 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00260038a432c0968f19220a2cc3c235b22b9f42d32aa44b7e179884047043e8
23,586.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 11:25:11 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x007999ff29a5e33A70Ada63397782A8604E010EA
Tx: 0x0068007501a194a700503793aec7ce8613153778179f89ea2020e5c28dc2c16e