Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 8:17:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 8:18:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 338.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
75x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
338.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 339 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 8:17:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
338.92 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
129.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
108.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
Net sender
Unknown type
101.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 338.92 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
338.92 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 8:17:23 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
4.49 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 8:18:23 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
740.59 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/17/2026, 8:14:23 P.M.
-5 min
51 tx
823.8 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/17/2026, 8:12:23 P.M.
-6 min
1 tx
1,999.51 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 8:11:23 P.M.
+7 min
1 tx
1.52 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 8:24:23 P.M.
-8 min
1 tx
2,956.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 8:09:23 P.M.
-9 min
Best candidate1 tx
11,122.96 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 8:08:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
129.4 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 8:17:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
101.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 8:17:20 P.M.
From: 0x003b5e7E138128F62455234813e3f7D8e0FE75cD
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b005c112110c70ad51c1d95dd502974848257821cfd5eee8a8395a6d1b09f
129.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 8:17:20 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c000d9839516ff3203101f6f19236d1db076e79ad5928f57391251945499d
108.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 8:17:20 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c00076c81d41260590cec78b51a5bd81c8f7fc0879643ac0eb9df4516d633