Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 7:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 7:14:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 7:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,673.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
224.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 225 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 7:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,774.54 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,066.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00094fFe9339777A505042127733d47aCE19d90b
Net sender
Unknown type
3,699.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,699.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0070b7147Eb1535D012C1F9248AE50395c0825D7
Net sender
Unknown type
1,199.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,774.54 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
224.74 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:14:22 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
15,673.43 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:15:22 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,250.32 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:12:23 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
11,279 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:11:22 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10.04 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:17:22 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
293.15 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:18:22 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
3,703.8 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:08:22 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
5.64 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:07:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,066.76 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:14:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1,199.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:14:56 P.M.
From: 0x0070b7147Eb1535D012C1F9248AE50395c0825D7
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x003c004868b7e38b569eb8dcbb87efe4a40c7c754c51f438b7a067bb6be74013
10,066.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:14:31 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d0010d72d871c919f0d6f4edbdac0c397c9d1175160d832f68092f444e82b
599.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:14:31 P.M.
From: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00540040aef0056d8e1cfedac8e5b12255a0a8156909f68987841eed0884b150
108.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:14:31 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b005bd55de292ee595628f497abf5440ae5bc15f83e0456749753525c56b2
3,699.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:14:31 P.M.
From: 0x00094fFe9339777A505042127733d47aCE19d90b
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0039003312a8cd77a125720e0734e1aa291140594fa54219a61b9d554a299f2f