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Spike bucket

07/17/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/17/2026, 4:14:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
96% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,830.42
Unexplained QUAI: 685.54
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
27x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
7
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
15,515.95 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0007ff4F17cCAc04E5e7C715FD902d8Fd239C034.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 15516 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0007ff4F17cCAc04E5e7C715FD902d8Fd239C034.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowBroad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,468.26 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0007ff4F17cCAc04E5e7C715FD902d8Fd239C034
Net sender
Unknown type
13,990.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
362.16 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004FDE72b734dd6a52DD0F2363cFC75ef35a55AE
Net sender
Unknown type
274.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
173.11 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,468.26 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

7 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 14. The remaining 7 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

13,990.26 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:14:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0007ff4F17cCAc04E5e7C715FD902d8Fd239C034
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
101.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:14:30 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a003371d61e805c64a094d3a57a1b6e373e93bf60399a381a1e148aeaf5ad
Open txWallet profile
13,990.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:14:30 P.M.
From: 0x0007ff4F17cCAc04E5e7C715FD902d8Fd239C034
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0048007f70cac56a0e173bc3df7036b6f15d1b31685a4d408383d597ed285e2c
Open txWallet profile
274.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:14:30 P.M.
From: 0x004FDE72b734dd6a52DD0F2363cFC75ef35a55AE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00200023d65a0870d0133ec0ff69897614874c37e8e45435c15e66b96613105c
Open txWallet profile
101.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:14:30 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00760028ce2e74059b940dc25db0d841fb6543e8a32323fae731e6f7e91ab8dd
Open txWallet profile
171.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:14:07 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x006900752975c2f03fbf5bdfb4d6137833d7a15ba88547176adaf8afff4ebcc1
173.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:14:07 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x005a007af03e0fd48e22f4b7753a8e2e551358b192c597f9902d1e27959a2c29
18.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:14:07 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x003c003aa17cc8cc61b87f68608094dd03cfeaf350dbde969f62eb9916d48531
Open txWallet profile