Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 4:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 4:00:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 4:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,401.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
3.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
10,401.19 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10401 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 4:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,306.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,306.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
54.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006cB28321C1b5c76aE871E09361E65Ab3C3415E
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003409A5eaF5D1180CbB64Eda9f583532291F0Da
Net sender
Unknown type
40.4 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
59.72 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:59:49 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,401.19 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/17/2026, 4:00:49 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
354.88 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 4:01:49 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
5,357.58 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:56:49 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:55:32 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:54:32 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
10,306.39 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 4:05:34 P.M.
+7 min
2 tx
326.9 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 4:06:34 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,306.62 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:00:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
54.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:00:35 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x006cB28321C1b5c76aE871E09361E65Ab3C3415E
Tx: 0x0008002fd8900aa037e301b658da4ef3ea0b3ee5f825cc589db453dee6026be3
10,306.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:00:35 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x004000175750707e261bfa374777fdacab052e4588032c2298473b5abd563b94
40 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:00:35 P.M.
From: 0x003409A5eaF5D1180CbB64Eda9f583532291F0Da
To: 0x003Cf32Dc0511F49396De3C083f6E28158663Ca9
Tx: 0x00340072f7b76459f3bf87fe5366066e44f35e49d48101c965e3bf0101240f12
0.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 4:00:35 P.M.
From: 0x003409A5eaF5D1180CbB64Eda9f583532291F0Da
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0051004410731ef9b6a77f6f4d0ec1bd42784387183811d1de5492f90c38b5c3