Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
54% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,434.27
Unexplained QUAI: 2,100.06
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 13% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.3x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
9
52.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
4,534.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006821214E6c7c9Beb40bd0493664E89b7e18085.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 4534 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x006821214E6c7c9Beb40bd0493664E89b7e18085.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,434.27 QUAI across 9 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006821214E6c7c9Beb40bd0493664E89b7e18085
Net sender
Unknown type
313.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00262d10Cf193fa1346AAF343B880Ff3F8Fa5B14
Net sender
Unknown type
291.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00228838f4165323A8b6fB12E1F1ACd2bE445c4A
Net sender
Unknown type
290.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
Net sender
Unknown type
289.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,434.27 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
4,534.32 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:27:27 P.M.
-1 min
23 tx
17,422.78 QUAI • 25 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:26:27 P.M.
-2 min
16 tx
10,547.94 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:24:36 P.M.
-2 min
11 tx
14,900.07 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:25:14 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10,271.08 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:29:27 P.M.
-3 min
13 tx
14,989.92 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
345.92 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:30:27 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate17 tx
79,859.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:22:36 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
313.92 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:04 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006821214E6c7c9Beb40bd0493664E89b7e18085
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
313.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:04 P.M.
From: 0x006821214E6c7c9Beb40bd0493664E89b7e18085
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b00622974c2f51acf7b96b1c54bdd63f53834447fdbc7ec2b49e1f1c8a489
289.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
From: 0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046001c61ff139234c5d5812f134f4c82f1b9352ac211f2bc7a62578a519287
248.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
From: 0x002773d48b4A834547e1339Aede3B9878b8F765D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0012739c82dd76ece0341cea3da3814bd23416d4463f9e10e351ac62378a
266.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
From: 0x000A766df7ba011c8682F90126370f308De0C69E
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00200061a9a126bc320fb5befb42311fc97ca4df22511877726224c960dbd288
247.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
From: 0x001e2C1D33912F23C80ee843C999B491a50e10e6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000a000b3680e67b10d559beb5313d040bd578d1ed17eea7230bbe7d00249473
290.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
From: 0x00228838f4165323A8b6fB12E1F1ACd2bE445c4A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004900671bc63aa20aaa613f35cc5d98b6691ab141c6504bcfc94ebf8966e564
291.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
From: 0x00262d10Cf193fa1346AAF343B880Ff3F8Fa5B14
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660024ec8951b7970cbc3aae05488212ed4090782a07b2b1eebe100391895f
242.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
From: 0x0001B76A8f629974Aff8B55A5af4D3D400DedE81
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e005d64c28191dc0f56252ead98d8a256b9bc0d41e965dcaf831c6a339643
243.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
From: 0x00107d12a17dF9f0d5816C0A3CD28C1EBb96e39c
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640026cee37ae9b113c9f3b8be2cf06af1f3e269fc1358959555b22e4b5443