Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 3:20:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 215.32
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 3:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
215.32 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
110.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Net sender
Unknown type
105.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 215.32 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
5 tx
9,540.12 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:18:36 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate9 tx
528,838.31 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:21:36 P.M.
+3 min
17 tx
79,859.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:22:36 P.M.
+4 min
13 tx
14,989.92 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:23:36 P.M.
-5 min
7 tx
1,858.72 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:14:35 P.M.
+5 min
16 tx
10,547.94 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:24:36 P.M.
+5 min
11 tx
14,900.07 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:25:14 P.M.
-6 min
3 tx
8,852.01 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:13:35 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
110.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:20:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
110.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:20:36 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004000fdd2db1a4ced145a4fa1f567d2038ccde287ed6d29910abf0b614e8c4
105.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:20:36 P.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064001f7104540c1520bd43afa3a16ce9ca6e10c2cdaac450df979489eaea43
