Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 3:01:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 3:01:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 3:02:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 33,381.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
16,690.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 16691 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 3:01:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
33,381.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
16,690.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003Ca030d08f007b35f86862Cd06821aC34b8C19
Net sender
Unknown type
16,690.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
16,690.88 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:00:57 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
16,690.88 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:01:57 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
26,839.36 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:02:57 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
5,166.51 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:57:57 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
5,167.14 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:56:57 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
26,167.14 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:55:57 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
24,164.37 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:54:57 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 3:06:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
16,690.88 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:01:27 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
16,690.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:01:56 P.M.
From: 0x003Ca030d08f007b35f86862Cd06821aC34b8C19
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0063000f29fe55913a6fe84c383cb10ffbfd63ce52fbb55ecf5c6f27a66867e9
16,690.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 3:01:27 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x007f005d9bcde8a0babf14190e83d5b0f7419e0cbbfc69cd82fc5003c2dfc2ca