Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 2:44:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 2:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,538.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
4 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,035.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,035.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0029d5d6AA23A49E61b03516DDb8aca1BBd7dECf
Net sender
Unknown type
4,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00094fFe9339777A505042127733d47aCE19d90b
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028b29F48d5a172049012106091Ff2496c67cE3
Net sender
Unknown type
99.52 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,035.41 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
4 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
14,538.93 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:45:00 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:46:00 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:48:00 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:39:00 P.M.
+5 min
3 tx
5,627.16 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:49:00 P.M.
-6 min
2 tx
16.32 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:38:00 P.M.
+7 min
Best candidate2 tx
24,399.52 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:51:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,035.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:44:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:44:46 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Tx: 0x0036003510b941a9cd2ae85f61600af1d7fd0827eb5b598c96cd598594524731
10,035.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:44:41 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c003b3ebdb09dc610bbf00f49816f79dd33b8d92b4f6148fef709feda6220
99.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:44:41 P.M.
From: 0x0028b29F48d5a172049012106091Ff2496c67cE3
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x002e0008d455597f3ffe6066191057af3bfdcad99070e83d76ac07df3669178b
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:44:41 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002e7f718E740c4159d952619615c16C2D5cE612
Tx: 0x007d000b4a9d6521c61f9a15f54a3a7337a06728a737de174d2522a1cfcfe75c
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:44:41 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0026000c002b0561e1d50493ecbaab1aa96725216503512bf583f915b877d9d5
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:44:41 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x0057a685Cb34c53DF21bDe21488382bFA3D2A599
Tx: 0x000a0034a396936ed33a08034a582feb9f018d228525c879cd60bb93d4557f94
4,400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:44:41 P.M.
From: 0x0029d5d6AA23A49E61b03516DDb8aca1BBd7dECf
To: 0x00094fFe9339777A505042127733d47aCE19d90b
Tx: 0x002300730eb68b39ee61c4bd00526941730bc8416e45c75484fe860c0d7ef2cf