Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 2:43:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 25% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 2:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
Net sender
Unknown type
4 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
+1 min
4 tx
4 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:44:00 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
14,538.93 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:45:00 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:46:00 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
100 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:39:00 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
16.32 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:38:00 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:48:00 P.M.
+6 min
3 tx
5,627.16 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:49:00 P.M.
-7 min
Best candidate8 tx
183,321.71 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:36:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:43:37 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:43:37 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x005a0027e245fac6c390519bb602a8b9d95502767bd1739bbdfeb5a95f2d82c7
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:43:24 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Tx: 0x004b00326811732855f8f4e22faa2d8b46e4387fad5fcafecfd28c1c17cb2396
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:43:24 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x005e00379986ceb70159c54dcd4501a0293bd6f2410c3d1ee33ad89c0b5ace37
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:43:24 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001100363d14eae800cbab21f5191008dd485a819ea125e394a0c1943c288307