Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 2:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 2:27:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 2:28:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,136.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
32,136.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32137 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 2:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
32,136.89 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
Net receiver
Unknown type
20,683.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00123AEC9BFe31EeE5585D572F4808E716e01448
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,453.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 32,136.89 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
111,986.53 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:26:59 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
32,136.89 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:27:59 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
20,739.1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:28:59 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:23:59 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
10,086.02 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:29:59 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:31:59 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
3,425.22 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:32:59 P.M.
-7 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:19:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
20,683.47 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:27:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
20,683.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:27:24 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0075531E9283240A677A4aDA8d2E9bf445C4917E
Tx: 0x0036000a27ba9a286da7c928eddff4f1f15bf49100a9d3ae1b0edbf32441c2b2
11,453.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:27:24 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x00123AEC9BFe31EeE5585D572F4808E716e01448
Tx: 0x0041005e87c8a4cccff26bf8bbfece60ba4703227b6353a30432112544493653