Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 1:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 1:22:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 1:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
54% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,002.3
Unexplained QUAI: 9,350.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
1.8x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
20,352.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20352 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 1:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (46% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (54%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,787.3 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3
Net sender
Unknown type
10,299.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00560c87E775faa73C0847DD7EA0A6870aE132a0
Net sender
Unknown type
487.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Net sender
Unknown type
215 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
Net receiver
Unknown type
215 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,787.3 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
20,352.34 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:22:08 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
11,002.3 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:23:08 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
497 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:20:08 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
9.56 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:19:08 P.M.
+6 min
1 tx
520 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:27:55 P.M.
-7 min
16 tx
4,110.95 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:15:09 P.M.
-9 min
50 tx
1,414.96 QUAI • 51 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:13:09 P.M.
-11 min
2 tx
2,074 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:11:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,299.77 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:22:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10,299.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:22:59 P.M.
From: 0x004741D44B7d8f346CBfCbd607E752F423a902E3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001800109a535e6f8f3324311809ca160643e87cdf5974621bfe1df9d3db3f44
487.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:22:59 P.M.
From: 0x00560c87E775faa73C0847DD7EA0A6870aE132a0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b0014ecfcd078bbd10deef7d6abe14cb06f83c7a6d30a0268a7c69f0e677b
215 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:22:59 P.M.
From: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
To: 0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371
Tx: 0x004b0075f1c1d0abc147dae984aed26ce1c7363e8681f1d9bb34ec7993ca2d62