Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 12:20:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
27% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 207.48
Unexplained QUAI: 558.98
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
3.7x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
766.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 766 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
207.48 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
Net sender
Unknown type
106.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
Net sender
Unknown type
100.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 207.48 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
766.46 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:20:26 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
207.48 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:21:26 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
7.03 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:18:26 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:22:26 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:16:26 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
2.67 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:15:26 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
765.99 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:25:26 P.M.
-6 min
Best candidate15 tx
1,240.78 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:14:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
106.91 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:20:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
100.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:20:32 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a00594af18c5955c5784ca4ae29b01a43d9ba7c60342058018b1fb0357fc1
106.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:20:32 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0064000a90999dc90079ce4adcd12a281a338ffcae2137ed905faead668e8df9