Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 12:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 12:03:00 P.M. to 07/17/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15,126.67
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
7.8x above local average
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
15,126.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15127 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 12:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,126.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
10,126.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x006C29A85bDc205c52AB877571001bFBC8308e52
Net sender
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00074E93678b5Cc63D34EfdFd0369e432a41B075
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 10,126.67 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
15,126.67 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:03:26 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:04:26 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
10.22 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:05:26 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
222.08 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:00:26 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
2 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:06:26 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:07:26 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
61.37 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:58:25 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 12:08:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,126.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:03:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:03:11 P.M.
From: 0x006C29A85bDc205c52AB877571001bFBC8308e52
To: 0x00074E93678b5Cc63D34EfdFd0369e432a41B075
Tx: 0x0067005850cc9e220f8c42c79cef2c2e0bdd1e57562b3fd2e774960061f6706e
10,126.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 12:03:11 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d0076a56069194703e5b950c29c1c84c74fe94f94fb651449a038cc776a5f