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Spike bucket

07/17/2026, 11:53:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/17/2026, 11:53:00 A.M. to 07/17/2026, 11:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,002.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
5,002.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 5002 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 11:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
5,002.28 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:53:26 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2,500 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:51:26 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
255.35 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:55:26 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2,200 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:50:26 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
11,126.9 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:56:26 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
2,500 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:49:25 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
9,204.46 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:48:26 A.M.
+5 min
2 tx
61.37 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 11:58:25 A.M.

Biggest whale alert

4,999.77 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 11:53:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

2 transactions
4,999.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 11:53:23 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007b0012e3574b5144e81907f0cafecd615f91ab6bc713845bdbb2ea64680389
Open txWallet profile
2.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 11:53:23 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x00620014ab9914e0f557a1cafc7f233e2d73d2e41ff21c01a683b85065b8d548
Open tx