Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 7:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 7:19:00 A.M. to 07/17/2026, 7:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13.22
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
2.1x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
10 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e536A0781FcC3A7847bF6075dB9f503187a6d • 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 10 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e536A0781FcC3A7847bF6075dB9f503187a6d • 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 7:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007e536A0781FcC3A7847bF6075dB9f503187a6d
Balanced
Unknown type
13.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
Net sender
Unknown type
8.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001AF1BbB40807fcb99C9Eeaa49dF5E91e7Efd42
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
10 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:19:24 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
4.79 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:18:24 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
13.22 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:20:24 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
15,903.7 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:16:24 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
12,297.16 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:15:24 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
15,899.9 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:23:24 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate19 tx
37,287.18 QUAI • 21 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:14:24 A.M.
-7 min
51 tx
20,666.97 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/17/2026, 7:12:25 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
8.22 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:19:33 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x007e536A0781FcC3A7847bF6075dB9f503187a6d
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:19:39 A.M.
From: 0x007e536A0781FcC3A7847bF6075dB9f503187a6d
To: 0x001AF1BbB40807fcb99C9Eeaa49dF5E91e7Efd42
Tx: 0x00630000233e45a584c24d529a0d00872e4adee8ff6f414dc3276f48b50236b7
8.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 7:19:33 A.M.
From: 0x007e821d2aF89C06bf2e3f7d57F5a29e8E6Ed3C0
To: 0x007e536A0781FcC3A7847bF6075dB9f503187a6d
Tx: 0x0022007c2ca852db12036ff720770afc93e424fb3e74f73bdd97d146d936db16
