Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 6:38:00 A.M. to 07/17/2026, 6:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
26% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,797.61
Unexplained QUAI: 39,180.39
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
7.8x previous minute
3.8x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
2
Asset volume
52,977.99 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 52978 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 6:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
13,797.61 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
10,070.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00279bfA5028d7d4052c1091b620fC0c255c13Ca
Net sender
Unknown type
1,955.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0051589c20c542525f2a1c8C9f5d8Bf62f5b16CC
Net sender
Unknown type
1,235.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005F081251401B5c7e624443FED556cdA2F96df8
Net sender
Unknown type
536.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 13,797.61 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
52,977.99 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:38:24 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
6,789.23 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:37:24 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
13,797.61 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:39:24 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10,070.69 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:35:24 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
14,998.79 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:41:24 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate2 tx
65,664.3 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:33:24 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
6,788.71 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:43:24 A.M.
-6 min
2 tx
45,206.06 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:32:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,070.43 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:38:36 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
1,955.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:38:36 A.M.
From: 0x00279bfA5028d7d4052c1091b620fC0c255c13Ca
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e001c9288238f266c381176dcd32d512d88a633289bdf7b1c5a76a1c12d6f
1,235.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:38:36 A.M.
From: 0x0051589c20c542525f2a1c8C9f5d8Bf62f5b16CC
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00350045d5f0a32ec1632673d9f810bdacd6b3928e035aa03005fe00cd33ed45
10,070.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:38:36 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b0035019116234a6105253639ff31cb53eac1e996b74f6b1becbf7c2ac54b
536.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:38:36 A.M.
From: 0x005F081251401B5c7e624443FED556cdA2F96df8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0023006501352f665a481b461e626909e74e61d871f2ff3a57e5d3faebfcc33d