Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 6:14:00 A.M. to 07/17/2026, 6:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,350.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
190.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 191 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 6:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,147.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,147.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
186.72 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
153.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
190.89 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:14:24 A.M.
-1 min
51 tx
1,505.87 QUAI • 53 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:13:24 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
10,163.79 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:15:24 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
2,632.18 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:11:24 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
19.3 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:17:24 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
60.81 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:18:23 A.M.
+5 min
1 tx
23 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:19:24 A.M.
-6 min
1 tx
2 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 6:08:24 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,147.79 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:14:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:14:42 A.M.
From: 0x0034e740F83346D179096e5492135c9992EAA29b
To: 0x002674164c7ab9Fe0c6aeCcbc39a99Ea9939241A
Tx: 0x0041002c4d4c391d9a35db8c71753254619865c041db925ce919787565dbadac
10,147.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:14:37 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00530054c9a9fa149ec54821b4c192e037f7bb3ab1ecf04616531ae54e50d63b
15.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:14:09 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0064003774bfbd219dc66fa9d412ea2819592870ec24401870aef0a049a087d3
153.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:14:09 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00470027a0e32e069575bc752162d1ca0919feaec33a52ca3df967bcc34d3769
17.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 6:14:09 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x0036007bf59c4e3dedbf507561ad631e2db4b4e3580fb87603ee665bb8c8a3c2
