Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 07/17/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 544.46
Unexplained QUAI: 938.64
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
1,483.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1483 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
403.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
Net receiver
Unknown type
403.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
71.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004B0A585dbcCa99Bf6293233aB579E2610B86DD
Net receiver
Unknown type
71.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
69.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
1,483.1 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:27:22 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
3,973.79 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:26:22 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
2,725.83 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:28:22 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
12,331.44 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:25:22 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
11,681.11 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:29:22 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
8,334.89 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:24:22 A.M.
+3 min
15 tx
4,446.6 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:30:22 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate22 tx
16,813.27 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:23:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
403.85 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:27:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
71.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004B0A585dbcCa99Bf6293233aB579E2610B86DD
Tx: 0x0008001328fa399f40406056cd0fd6fd447ef1b83627035311a44c2ddc551cbc
69.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002696dD862D6588EE7501Ea56A8406FC0eCa653
Tx: 0x00570047655930949f2a6df165039772b908d758951f24d5107a59f01a6920d1
403.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 2:27:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002817Ec732850FD13f9F84698E97402CBe55cAc
Tx: 0x0004005f7a02c81adb365ede756ed7bb127e12e6f3dbed9ddb96edaa827b9c70