Spike bucket
07/17/2026, 1:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/17/2026, 1:57:00 A.M. to 07/17/2026, 1:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 45,105.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0049b34194b68bd92f8c6fA9e0a8C72A65DFa90a.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0049b34194b68bd92f8c6fA9e0a8C72A65DFa90a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/17/2026, 1:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
35,006.97 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0049b34194b68bd92f8c6fA9e0a8C72A65DFa90a
Net sender
Unknown type
27,445.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
10,098.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,098.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0076421eE82DB9a1E83c188694de62CA69E414e7
Net sender
Unknown type
7,141.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 35,006.97 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
58.29 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:56:21 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
45,105.87 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:58:22 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
116.47 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:52:22 A.M.
-8 min
2 tx
7,518.92 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:49:21 A.M.
-9 min
Best candidate2 tx
114,911.47 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:48:21 A.M.
+9 min
1 tx
10,098.67 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 2:06:22 A.M.
-10 min
2 tx
45,252.67 QUAI • 3 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:47:21 A.M.
-13 min
1 tx
97,114.43 QUAI • 2 addresses
07/17/2026, 1:44:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
27,445.43 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:57:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0049b34194b68bd92f8c6fA9e0a8C72A65DFa90a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
10,098.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:57:57 A.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00450001a6316af76b44d7140ebbb655b17060184394e7ae7087416f71d8bd45
7,141.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:57:33 A.M.
From: 0x0076421eE82DB9a1E83c188694de62CA69E414e7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00310001367297f0b8ed769700b8756931b42a80d95f1e59a4d7f8af63fd7172
27,445.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:57:33 A.M.
From: 0x0049b34194b68bd92f8c6fA9e0a8C72A65DFa90a
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051001829cc797196c17349055b7f772df08d0ba43cc06b844aa5ca2ede9802
420.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/17/2026, 1:57:33 A.M.
From: 0x002127a6f2C79f540bA9C77a5e3AB57Eb8B2f9dA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f00717a440224ae194bfeeea52ecc5d97b547a8fc11a0a782d643313c2c39